THE RACE, PUBLICATION BY PUBLICATION

Projection history

Browse 127QC projections by publication date, including provincial figures and all 127 ridings.

Large figures count ridings where each party leads. Changes in parentheses compare consecutive publications; they may reflect polls, their weighting or a change in methodology.

The history starts here

The October 1, 2026 projection is the first reference point. Future publications will be added to this page.

October 1, 2026

First projection saved in this history.

Latest publication
PQ67leading29.6%
PLQ34leading23.3%
CAQ4leading18.5%
PCQ15leading17.3%
QS7leading10.5%

Polls included : Mainstreet Research, Research Co., Nanos Research, Segma Recherche, Léger, Pallas Data, Synopsis Recherche.

View this projection

Archives preserve the figures and model version used for each publication. They are not recalculated using later polls.