127QCELECTION OBSERVATORY

October 5 election: results and scorecard · results analysis · official results from Élections Québec

ANALYSIS · 127QC

Analysis

The 2026 results under the microscope, plus articles to help you read polls, averages and projections.

Results · October 6, 2026Analysis of the October 5, 2026 results127QC’s final projection against the results: seats, vote, polls, misses and lessons for the next election.119/127ridings called correctly1.4 ptaverage error on the voteRead the analysis →

Articles

Explainer · October 7, 2026 · 7 minDo polls influence election results?Polls measure voting intentions, but they can also shape perceptions, media coverage and party strategy. Their effect on the ballot itself is harder to pin down.

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