RIDING · OCTOBER 5, 2026 ELECTION
Maurice-RichardClose race
127QC projection for Maurice-Richard as of October 1, 2026: the PQ leads with 28.7% of the estimated vote, ahead of the PLQ (28.1%) and Québec solidaire (25.1%). In the model’s 5,000 simulations, the PQ wins 40% of the time. It is a close race: fewer than 3 points separate the top two parties.
Candidates and estimated support
The 2022 result
| Party | 2022 | 2026 projection | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 14.7 | 28.7 | +14.1 |
| PLQ | 17.2 | 28.1 | +10.9 |
| QS | 34.7 | 25.1 | −9.5 |
| CAQ | 27.2 | 11.7 | −15.4 |
| PCQ | 4.2 | 5.3 | +1.1 |
Boundaries unchanged in 2026: official 2022 results. Sources: Élections Québec; transposition to the 2026 map by Kyle Hutton (Blunt Objects).
Neighbouring ridings
- Bourassa-SauvéPLQ 36.3-pt margin
How to read these numbers
The estimated vote comes from the model’s central scenario. The probability is the share of the 5,000 simulations won by each party; it remains experimental and depends on the model’s assumptions.
Show on the interactive map · Read the method · All ridings
Projection of October 1, 2026 · polls as of October 1 · 5,000 simulations.