RIDING · OCTOBER 5, 2026 ELECTION
Acadie
127QC projection for Acadie as of October 1, 2026: the PLQ leads with 54.3% of the estimated vote, ahead of the PQ (18.6%) and the PCQ (10.4%). In the model’s 5,000 simulations, the PLQ wins > 99% of the time.
LeadingPLQ
Margin35.7 points
Win probability> 99%
Poll-based projection. It describes the race today; the October 5 result may differ.
Candidates and estimated support
PLQ André Albert Morin incumbent
54.3%Win: > 99%PQ Pierrick Jasmin
18.6%Win: < 1%PCQ Amine Difallah
10.4%Win: < 1%QS Marie-Laurence Nault
10.2%Win: < 1%CAQ Christian Gnali
5.6%Win: < 1%The 2022 result
| Party | 2022 | 2026 projection | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|---|
| PLQ | 42.3 | 54.3 | +12.0 |
| PQ | 9.9 | 18.6 | +8.7 |
| PCQ | 11.4 | 10.4 | −0.9 |
| QS | 17.2 | 10.2 | −7.0 |
| CAQ | 17.1 | 5.6 | −11.5 |
Boundaries unchanged in 2026: official 2022 results. Sources: Élections Québec; transposition to the 2026 map by Kyle Hutton (Blunt Objects).
Neighbouring ridings
- Laval-des-RapidesPLQ 16.4-pt margin
- Saint-LaurentPLQ 44.9-pt margin
How to read these numbers
The estimated vote comes from the model’s central scenario. The probability is the share of the 5,000 simulations won by each party; it remains experimental and depends on the model’s assumptions.
Show on the interactive map · Read the method · All ridings
Projection of October 1, 2026 · polls as of October 1 · 5,000 simulations.