RIDING · OCTOBER 5, 2026 ELECTION
Beauharnois
127QC projection for Beauharnois as of October 1, 2026: the PQ leads with 34.8% of the estimated vote, ahead of the CAQ (28.0%) and the PCQ (14.4%). In the model’s 5,000 simulations, the PQ wins 76% of the time.
Candidates and estimated support
The 2022 result
| Party | 2022 | 2026 projection | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 16.7 | 34.8 | +18.2 |
| CAQ | 54.2 | 28.0 | −26.2 |
| PCQ | 9.4 | 14.4 | +4.9 |
| PLQ | 5.9 | 13.8 | +7.9 |
| QS | 12.7 | 8.7 | −4.1 |
Boundaries changed with the 2026 electoral map: the 2022 results are estimated on the new territory. Sources: Élections Québec; transposition to the 2026 map by Kyle Hutton (Blunt Objects).
Neighbouring ridings
- ChâteauguayPLQ 12.7-pt margin
- HuntingdonPQ 3.1-pt margin
- SoulangesPLQ 14.0-pt margin
How to read these numbers
The estimated vote comes from the model’s central scenario. The probability is the share of the 5,000 simulations won by each party; it remains experimental and depends on the model’s assumptions.
Show on the interactive map · Read the method · All ridings
Projection of October 1, 2026 · polls as of October 1 · 5,000 simulations.