RIDING · OCTOBER 5, 2026 ELECTION
Soulanges
127QC projection for Soulanges as of October 1, 2026: the PLQ leads with 35.5% of the estimated vote, ahead of the PQ (21.5%) and the CAQ (21.3%). In the model’s 5,000 simulations, the PLQ wins 87% of the time.
Candidates and estimated support
The 2022 result
| Party | 2022 | 2026 projection | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|---|
| PLQ | 23.7 | 35.5 | +11.8 |
| PQ | 9.9 | 21.5 | +11.7 |
| CAQ | 41.2 | 21.3 | −19.9 |
| PCQ | 12.6 | 14.4 | +1.9 |
| QS | 10.5 | 6.1 | −4.3 |
Boundaries changed with the 2026 electoral map: the 2022 results are estimated on the new territory. Sources: Élections Québec; transposition to the 2026 map by Kyle Hutton (Blunt Objects).
Neighbouring ridings
- ArgenteuilPQ 10.1-pt margin
- BeauharnoisPQ 6.8-pt margin
- VaudreuilPLQ 28.7-pt margin
How to read these numbers
The estimated vote comes from the model’s central scenario. The probability is the share of the 5,000 simulations won by each party; it remains experimental and depends on the model’s assumptions.
Show on the interactive map · Read the method · All ridings
Projection of October 1, 2026 · polls as of October 1 · 5,000 simulations.