RIDING · OCTOBER 5, 2026 ELECTION
Vaudreuil
127QC projection for Vaudreuil as of October 1, 2026: the PLQ leads with 46.8% of the estimated vote, ahead of the PQ (18.1%) and the CAQ (15.3%). In the model’s 5,000 simulations, the PLQ wins 99% of the time.
Candidates and estimated support
The 2022 result
| Party | 2022 | 2026 projection | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|---|
| PLQ | 34.5 | 46.8 | +12.3 |
| PQ | 7.7 | 18.1 | +10.4 |
| CAQ | 32.7 | 15.3 | −17.3 |
| PCQ | 11.6 | 12.2 | +0.6 |
| QS | 9.3 | 5.1 | −4.1 |
Boundaries changed with the 2026 electoral map: the 2022 results are estimated on the new territory. Sources: Élections Québec; transposition to the 2026 map by Kyle Hutton (Blunt Objects).
Neighbouring ridings
- Jacques-CartierPLQ 62.0-pt margin
- SoulangesPLQ 14.0-pt margin
How to read these numbers
The estimated vote comes from the model’s central scenario. The probability is the share of the 5,000 simulations won by each party; it remains experimental and depends on the model’s assumptions.
Show on the interactive map · Read the method · All ridings
Projection of October 1, 2026 · polls as of October 1 · 5,000 simulations.