RIDING · OCTOBER 5, 2026 ELECTION
Jeanne-Mance–Viger
127QC projection for Jeanne-Mance–Viger as of October 1, 2026: the PLQ leads with 66.1% of the estimated vote, ahead of the PQ (11.5%) and the PCQ (10.3%). In the model’s 5,000 simulations, the PLQ wins > 99% of the time.
LeadingPLQ
Margin54.5 points
Win probability> 99%
Poll-based projection. It describes the race today; the October 5 result may differ.
Candidates and estimated support
PLQ Filomena Rotiroti incumbent
66.1%Win: > 99%PQ Adnane Najahi
11.5%Win: < 1%PCQ Chakib Saad
10.3%Win: < 1%CAQ Ernest Denon
5.4%Win: < 1%QS Dalila Assefsaf
5.3%Win: < 1%The 2022 result
| Party | 2022 | 2026 projection | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|---|
| PLQ | 53.9 | 66.1 | +12.2 |
| PQ | 4.2 | 11.5 | +7.4 |
| PCQ | 11.6 | 10.3 | −1.3 |
| CAQ | 16.6 | 5.4 | −11.2 |
| QS | 10.7 | 5.3 | −5.3 |
Boundaries unchanged in 2026: official 2022 results. Sources: Élections Québec; transposition to the 2026 map by Kyle Hutton (Blunt Objects).
Neighbouring ridings
- Anjou–Louis-RielPLQ 20.5-pt margin
- Bourassa-SauvéPLQ 36.3-pt margin
- ViauPLQ 31.1-pt margin
How to read these numbers
The estimated vote comes from the model’s central scenario. The probability is the share of the 5,000 simulations won by each party; it remains experimental and depends on the model’s assumptions.
Show on the interactive map · Read the method · All ridings
Projection of October 1, 2026 · polls as of October 1 · 5,000 simulations.