RIDING · OCTOBER 5, 2026 ELECTION
Rimouski
127QC projection for Rimouski as of October 1, 2026: the PQ leads with 51.9% of the estimated vote, ahead of Québec solidaire (15.4%) and the CAQ (13.4%). In the model’s 5,000 simulations, the PQ wins > 99% of the time.
LeadingPQ
Margin36.4 points
Win probability> 99%
Poll-based projection. It describes the race today; the October 5 result may differ.
Candidates and estimated support
PQ Yohann St-Pierre
51.9%Win: > 99%QS Virginie Chevalier-Archambault
15.4%Win: < 1%CAQ Julia Brillant-Ruest
13.4%Win: < 1%PCQ Cédric Gauthier
9.7%Win: < 1%PLQ Michel Bienvenu
9.5%Win: < 1%The 2022 result
| Party | 2022 | 2026 projection | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 28.6 | 51.9 | +23.2 |
| QS | 21.4 | 15.4 | −6.0 |
| CAQ | 41.8 | 13.4 | −28.3 |
| PCQ | 4.8 | 9.7 | +4.9 |
| PLQ | 3.0 | 9.5 | +6.5 |
Boundaries unchanged in 2026: official 2022 results. Sources: Élections Québec; transposition to the 2026 map by Kyle Hutton (Blunt Objects).
Neighbouring ridings
- Matane-Matapédia-MitisPQ 72.3-pt margin
- Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les BasquesPQ 13.6-pt margin
How to read these numbers
The estimated vote comes from the model’s central scenario. The probability is the share of the 5,000 simulations won by each party; it remains experimental and depends on the model’s assumptions.
Show on the interactive map · Read the method · All ridings
Projection of October 1, 2026 · polls as of October 1 · 5,000 simulations.