RIDING · OCTOBER 5, 2026 ELECTION
Bellefeuille
127QC projection for Bellefeuille as of October 1, 2026: the PQ leads with 35.8% of the estimated vote, ahead of the CAQ (27.6%) and the PCQ (13.7%). In the model’s 5,000 simulations, the PQ wins 80% of the time.
Candidates and estimated support
The 2022 result
| Party | 2022 | 2026 projection | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 18.7 | 35.8 | +17.1 |
| CAQ | 48.0 | 27.6 | −20.5 |
| PCQ | 12.0 | 13.7 | +1.7 |
| PLQ | 4.8 | 11.8 | +7.0 |
| QS | 15.1 | 10.6 | −4.5 |
Boundaries changed with the 2026 electoral map: the 2022 results are estimated on the new territory. Sources: Élections Québec; transposition to the 2026 map by Kyle Hutton (Blunt Objects).
Neighbouring ridings
- ArgenteuilPQ 10.1-pt margin
- MirabelPQ 3.1-pt margin
- PrévostPQ 19.7-pt margin
- Saint-JérômePQ 6.4-pt margin
How to read these numbers
The estimated vote comes from the model’s central scenario. The probability is the share of the 5,000 simulations won by each party; it remains experimental and depends on the model’s assumptions.
Show on the interactive map · Read the method · All ridings
Projection of October 1, 2026 · polls as of October 1 · 5,000 simulations.