RIDING · OCTOBER 5, 2026 ELECTION
Brome-Missisquoi
127QC projection for Brome-Missisquoi as of October 1, 2026: the PQ leads with 27.8% of the estimated vote, ahead of the PLQ (24.7%) and the PCQ (17.3%). In the model’s 5,000 simulations, the PQ wins 59% of the time.
Candidates and estimated support
The 2022 result
| Party | 2022 | 2026 projection | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 11.6 | 27.8 | +16.2 |
| PLQ | 13.3 | 24.7 | +11.5 |
| PCQ | 10.5 | 17.3 | +6.9 |
| CAQ | 45.1 | 16.4 | −28.7 |
| QS | 16.0 | 11.5 | −4.4 |
Boundaries changed with the 2026 electoral map: the 2022 results are estimated on the new territory. Sources: Élections Québec; transposition to the 2026 map by Kyle Hutton (Blunt Objects).
Neighbouring ridings
- Daniel-JohnsonPQ 12.7-pt margin
- GranbyPQ 3.6-pt margin
- IbervillePQ 5.2-pt margin
- OrfordPQ 2.9-pt margin
How to read these numbers
The estimated vote comes from the model’s central scenario. The probability is the share of the 5,000 simulations won by each party; it remains experimental and depends on the model’s assumptions.
Show on the interactive map · Read the method · All ridings
Projection of October 1, 2026 · polls as of October 1 · 5,000 simulations.