RIDING · OCTOBER 5, 2026 ELECTION

Chomedey

127QC projection for Chomedey as of October 1, 2026: the PLQ leads with 50.1% of the estimated vote, ahead of the PCQ (21.2%) and the PQ (16.1%). In the model’s 5,000 simulations, the PLQ wins 99% of the time.

LeadingPLQ

Margin28.9 points

Win probability99%

Poll-based projection. It describes the race today; the October 5 result may differ.

Candidates and estimated support

PLQ Madeleine Féquière

50.1%Win: 99%

PCQ Leon Der Stepanian

21.2%Win: < 1%

PQ Marie-Jeanne Rivest

16.1%Win: < 1%

CAQ Cattiouceca Ambroise

7.6%Win: < 1%

QS Geru Schneider

4.1%Win: < 1%

The 2022 result

Party	2022	2026 projection	Change (points)
PLQ	38.6	50.1	+11.5
PCQ	21.7	21.2	−0.5
PQ	6.4	16.1	+9.7
CAQ	23.2	7.6	−15.6
QS	8.2	4.1	−4.1

Boundaries changed with the 2026 electoral map: the 2022 results are estimated on the new territory. Sources: Élections Québec; transposition to the 2026 map by Kyle Hutton (Blunt Objects).

Neighbouring ridings

FabrePLQ 23.0-pt margin
Laval-des-RapidesPLQ 16.4-pt margin
Saint-LaurentPLQ 44.9-pt margin

How to read these numbers

The estimated vote comes from the model’s central scenario. The probability is the share of the 5,000 simulations won by each party; it remains experimental and depends on the model’s assumptions.

Show on the interactive map · Read the method · All ridings

Projection of October 1, 2026 · polls as of October 1 · 5,000 simulations.