RIDING · OCTOBER 5, 2026 ELECTION
Pointe-aux-Trembles
127QC projection for Pointe-aux-Trembles as of October 1, 2026: the PQ leads with 35.2% of the estimated vote, ahead of the CAQ (27.7%) and the PLQ (18.4%). In the model’s 5,000 simulations, the PQ wins 80% of the time.
LeadingPQ
Margin7.5 points
Win probability80%
Poll-based projection. It describes the race today; the October 5 result may differ.
Candidates and estimated support
PQ Stéphane Paquet
35.2%Win: 80%CAQ Chantal Rouleau incumbent
27.7%Win: 20%PLQ Naïma Marylene Indira Som
18.4%Win: < 1%QS Mégane Charron
10.2%Win: < 1%PCQ Maxim Tremblay
7.7%Win: < 1%The 2022 result
| Party | 2022 | 2026 projection | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 19.9 | 35.2 | +15.4 |
| CAQ | 45.9 | 27.7 | −18.1 |
| PLQ | 10.4 | 18.4 | +8.0 |
| QS | 15.4 | 10.2 | −5.2 |
| PCQ | 6.8 | 7.7 | +0.9 |
Boundaries unchanged in 2026: official 2022 results. Sources: Élections Québec; transposition to the 2026 map by Kyle Hutton (Blunt Objects).
Neighbouring ridings
- LaFontainePLQ 51.8-pt margin
- RepentignyCAQ 1.1-pt margin
- VerchèresPQ 8.0-pt margin
How to read these numbers
The estimated vote comes from the model’s central scenario. The probability is the share of the 5,000 simulations won by each party; it remains experimental and depends on the model’s assumptions.
Show on the interactive map · Read the method · All ridings
Projection of October 1, 2026 · polls as of October 1 · 5,000 simulations.