RIDING · OCTOBER 5, 2026 ELECTION

RepentignyClose race

127QC projection for Repentigny as of October 1, 2026: the CAQ leads with 33.5% of the estimated vote, ahead of the PQ (32.4%) and the PLQ (18.1%). In the model’s 5,000 simulations, the CAQ wins 52% of the time. It is a close race: fewer than 3 points separate the top two parties.

LeadingCAQ
Margin1.1 points
Win probability52%
Poll-based projection. It describes the race today; the October 5 result may differ.

Candidates and estimated support

CAQ Pascale Déry incumbent
33.5%Win: 52%
PQ Nicolas Girard
32.4%Win: 47%
PLQ Yvena Luc
18.1%Win: < 1%
QS Martin Lefebvre
8.2%Win: < 1%
PCQ Vincent Côté
7.5%Win: < 1%

The 2022 result

Party20222026 projectionChange (points)
CAQ52.733.5−19.2
PQ17.432.4+15.0
PLQ9.918.1+8.2
QS12.78.2−4.5
PCQ6.57.5+1.0

Boundaries changed with the 2026 electoral map: the 2022 results are estimated on the new territory. Sources: Élections Québec; transposition to the 2026 map by Kyle Hutton (Blunt Objects).

Neighbouring ridings

How to read these numbers

The estimated vote comes from the model’s central scenario. The probability is the share of the 5,000 simulations won by each party; it remains experimental and depends on the model’s assumptions.

Show on the interactive map · Read the method · All ridings

Projection of October 1, 2026 · polls as of October 1 · 5,000 simulations.