RIDING · OCTOBER 5, 2026 ELECTION
Masson
127QC projection for Masson as of October 1, 2026: the PQ leads with 34.9% of the estimated vote, ahead of the CAQ (30.3%) and the PLQ (15.8%). In the model’s 5,000 simulations, the PQ wins 69% of the time.
LeadingPQ
Margin4.7 points
Win probability69%
Poll-based projection. It describes the race today; the October 5 result may differ.
Candidates and estimated support
PQ Stéphane Handfield
34.9%Win: 69%CAQ Anik Girard
30.3%Win: 31%PLQ Martin Gaulin
15.8%Win: < 1%PCQ Benoit Lanoue
9.9%Win: < 1%QS Stéphane Durupt
8.8%Win: < 1%The 2022 result
| Party | 2022 | 2026 projection | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 18.2 | 34.9 | +16.7 |
| CAQ | 51.6 | 30.3 | −21.3 |
| PLQ | 7.7 | 15.8 | +8.0 |
| PCQ | 8.4 | 9.9 | +1.5 |
| QS | 13.1 | 8.8 | −4.3 |
Boundaries unchanged in 2026: official 2022 results. Sources: Élections Québec; transposition to the 2026 map by Kyle Hutton (Blunt Objects).
Neighbouring ridings
- L'AssomptionPQ 2.1-pt margin
- Les PlainesPQ 3.0-pt margin
- RepentignyCAQ 1.1-pt margin
- RousseauPQ 8.6-pt margin
- TerrebonnePQ 6.8-pt margin
How to read these numbers
The estimated vote comes from the model’s central scenario. The probability is the share of the 5,000 simulations won by each party; it remains experimental and depends on the model’s assumptions.
Show on the interactive map · Read the method · All ridings
Projection of October 1, 2026 · polls as of October 1 · 5,000 simulations.