RIDING · OCTOBER 5, 2026 ELECTION
Borduas
127QC projection for Borduas as of October 1, 2026: the PQ leads with 36.7% of the estimated vote, ahead of the CAQ (30.8%) and the PLQ (12.3%). In the model’s 5,000 simulations, the PQ wins 72% of the time.
Candidates and estimated support
The 2022 result
| Party | 2022 | 2026 projection | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 19.7 | 36.7 | +17.1 |
| CAQ | 51.0 | 30.8 | −20.2 |
| PLQ | 5.3 | 12.3 | +6.9 |
| QS | 15.4 | 10.6 | −4.8 |
| PCQ | 7.2 | 9.1 | +1.9 |
Boundaries changed with the 2026 electoral map: the 2022 results are estimated on the new territory. Sources: Élections Québec; transposition to the 2026 map by Kyle Hutton (Blunt Objects).
Neighbouring ridings
- IbervillePQ 5.2-pt margin
- RichelieuPQ 16.2-pt margin
- Saint-HyacinthePQ 13.8-pt margin
- VerchèresPQ 8.0-pt margin
How to read these numbers
The estimated vote comes from the model’s central scenario. The probability is the share of the 5,000 simulations won by each party; it remains experimental and depends on the model’s assumptions.
Show on the interactive map · Read the method · All ridings
Projection of October 1, 2026 · polls as of October 1 · 5,000 simulations.