RIDING · OCTOBER 5, 2026 ELECTION
La Peltrie
127QC projection for La Peltrie as of October 1, 2026: the PCQ leads with 39.0% of the estimated vote, ahead of the PQ (22.9%) and the CAQ (17.9%). In the model’s 5,000 simulations, the PCQ wins 95% of the time.
Candidates and estimated support
The 2022 result
| Party | 2022 | 2026 projection | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|---|
| PCQ | 28.5 | 39.0 | +10.4 |
| PQ | 10.3 | 22.9 | +12.6 |
| CAQ | 44.5 | 17.9 | −26.6 |
| PLQ | 5.9 | 14.0 | +8.1 |
| QS | 9.5 | 5.7 | −3.7 |
Boundaries changed with the 2026 electoral map: the 2022 results are estimated on the new territory. Sources: Élections Québec; transposition to the 2026 map by Kyle Hutton (Blunt Objects).
Neighbouring ridings
- ChauveauPCQ 17.4-pt margin
- Louis-HébertPQ 10.2-pt margin
- PortneufPCQ 18.2-pt margin
- Vanier-Les RivièresPCQ 0.4-pt margin
How to read these numbers
The estimated vote comes from the model’s central scenario. The probability is the share of the 5,000 simulations won by each party; it remains experimental and depends on the model’s assumptions.
Show on the interactive map · Read the method · All ridings
Projection of October 1, 2026 · polls as of October 1 · 5,000 simulations.