RIDING · OCTOBER 5, 2026 ELECTION
Labelle
127QC projection for Labelle as of October 1, 2026: the PQ leads with 40.3% of the estimated vote, ahead of the CAQ (21.7%) and the PCQ (16.4%). In the model’s 5,000 simulations, the PQ wins 97% of the time.
LeadingPQ
Margin18.5 points
Win probability97%
Poll-based projection. It describes the race today; the October 5 result may differ.
Candidates and estimated support
PQ Catherine Drouin
40.3%Win: 97%CAQ Chantal Roussel
21.7%Win: 3%PCQ Jean-François Frigon
16.4%Win: < 1%PLQ Shawn Latulippe
12.9%Win: < 1%QS Julie B. Savard
8.4%Win: < 1%The 2022 result
| Party | 2022 | 2026 projection | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 19.1 | 40.3 | +21.1 |
| CAQ | 53.1 | 21.7 | −31.4 |
| PCQ | 9.5 | 16.4 | +6.8 |
| PLQ | 5.0 | 12.9 | +7.9 |
| QS | 12.3 | 8.4 | −3.8 |
Boundaries unchanged in 2026: official 2022 results. Sources: Élections Québec; transposition to the 2026 map by Kyle Hutton (Blunt Objects).
Neighbouring ridings
- ArgenteuilPQ 10.1-pt margin
- BerthierPQ 22.5-pt margin
- BertrandPQ 21.9-pt margin
- GatineauPLQ 8.8-pt margin
- PapineauPQ 4.1-pt margin
How to read these numbers
The estimated vote comes from the model’s central scenario. The probability is the share of the 5,000 simulations won by each party; it remains experimental and depends on the model’s assumptions.
Show on the interactive map · Read the method · All ridings
Projection of October 1, 2026 · polls as of October 1 · 5,000 simulations.