RIDING · OCTOBER 5, 2026 ELECTION
Berthier
127QC projection for Berthier as of October 1, 2026: the PQ leads with 42.7% of the estimated vote, ahead of the CAQ (20.2%) and the PCQ (18.1%). In the model’s 5,000 simulations, the PQ wins 98% of the time.
Candidates and estimated support
The 2022 result
| Party | 2022 | 2026 projection | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 20.9 | 42.7 | +21.7 |
| CAQ | 51.1 | 20.2 | −30.9 |
| PCQ | 11.1 | 18.1 | +7.1 |
| QS | 13.9 | 9.8 | −4.2 |
| PLQ | 2.5 | 9.1 | +6.6 |
Boundaries changed with the 2026 electoral map: the 2022 results are estimated on the new territory. Sources: Élections Québec; transposition to the 2026 map by Kyle Hutton (Blunt Objects).
Neighbouring ridings
- BertrandPQ 21.9-pt margin
- JoliettePQ 38.8-pt margin
- LabellePQ 18.5-pt margin
- Laviolette–Saint-MauricePQ 9.5-pt margin
- MaskinongéPQ 7.3-pt margin
- Nicolet-BécancourPQ 1.5-pt margin
- RichelieuPQ 16.2-pt margin
How to read these numbers
The estimated vote comes from the model’s central scenario. The probability is the share of the 5,000 simulations won by each party; it remains experimental and depends on the model’s assumptions.
Show on the interactive map · Read the method · All ridings
Projection of October 1, 2026 · polls as of October 1 · 5,000 simulations.