RIDING · OCTOBER 5, 2026 ELECTION
Maskinongé
127QC projection for Maskinongé as of October 1, 2026: the PQ leads with 31.7% of the estimated vote, ahead of the CAQ (24.4%) and the PCQ (24.3%). In the model’s 5,000 simulations, the PQ wins 72% of the time.
LeadingPQ
Margin7.3 points
Win probability72%
Poll-based projection. It describes the race today; the October 5 result may differ.
Candidates and estimated support
PQ Isabelle Blais
31.7%Win: 72%CAQ Simon Allaire incumbent
24.4%Win: 18%PCQ Marc-André Cloutier
24.3%Win: 10%PLQ Nancy Mignault
12.7%Win: < 1%QS Simon Piotte
6.3%Win: < 1%The 2022 result
| Party | 2022 | 2026 projection | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 14.1 | 31.7 | +17.6 |
| CAQ | 53.5 | 24.4 | −29.1 |
| PCQ | 16.1 | 24.3 | +8.3 |
| PLQ | 5.1 | 12.7 | +7.7 |
| QS | 9.9 | 6.3 | −3.6 |
Boundaries unchanged in 2026: official 2022 results. Sources: Élections Québec; transposition to the 2026 map by Kyle Hutton (Blunt Objects).
Neighbouring ridings
- BerthierPQ 22.5-pt margin
- Laviolette–Saint-MauricePQ 9.5-pt margin
- Nicolet-BécancourPQ 1.5-pt margin
- Trois-RivièresPQ 9.4-pt margin
How to read these numbers
The estimated vote comes from the model’s central scenario. The probability is the share of the 5,000 simulations won by each party; it remains experimental and depends on the model’s assumptions.
Show on the interactive map · Read the method · All ridings
Projection of October 1, 2026 · polls as of October 1 · 5,000 simulations.