RIDING · OCTOBER 5, 2026 ELECTION
Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne
127QC projection for Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne as of October 1, 2026: the PLQ leads with 43.4% of the estimated vote, ahead of Québec solidaire (20.7%) and the PQ (19.6%). In the model’s 5,000 simulations, the PLQ wins 98% of the time.
LeadingPLQ
Margin22.7 points
Win probability98%
Poll-based projection. It describes the race today; the October 5 result may differ.
Candidates and estimated support
PLQ Benoit Clermont
43.4%Win: 98%QS Guillaume Cliche-Rivard incumbent
20.7%Win: 1%PQ Caroline Julie Fortin
19.6%Win: 1%PCQ Edouard Stephan Valdescault
7.5%Win: < 1%CAQ Anthony Lavoie
6.6%Win: < 1%The 2022 result
| Party | 2022 | 2026 projection | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|---|
| PLQ | 36.2 | 43.4 | +7.3 |
| QS | 27.7 | 20.7 | −7.0 |
| PQ | 8.3 | 19.6 | +11.3 |
| PCQ | 6.4 | 7.5 | +1.1 |
| CAQ | 17.7 | 6.6 | −11.1 |
Boundaries unchanged in 2026: official 2022 results. Sources: Élections Québec; transposition to the 2026 map by Kyle Hutton (Blunt Objects).
Neighbouring ridings
- Marguerite-BourgeoysPLQ 40.2-pt margin
- Notre-Dame-de-GrâcePLQ 49.1-pt margin
- VerdunPLQ 18.0-pt margin
- Westmount–Saint-LouisPLQ 48.1-pt margin
How to read these numbers
The estimated vote comes from the model’s central scenario. The probability is the share of the 5,000 simulations won by each party; it remains experimental and depends on the model’s assumptions.
Show on the interactive map · Read the method · All ridings
Projection of October 1, 2026 · polls as of October 1 · 5,000 simulations.