RIDING · OCTOBER 5, 2026 ELECTION
Westmount–Saint-Louis
127QC projection for Westmount–Saint-Louis as of October 1, 2026: the PLQ leads with 61.5% of the estimated vote, ahead of the PQ (13.4%) and the PCQ (8.2%). In the model’s 5,000 simulations, the PLQ wins > 99% of the time.
LeadingPLQ
Margin48.1 points
Win probability> 99%
Poll-based projection. It describes the race today; the October 5 result may differ.
Candidates and estimated support
PLQ Jennifer Maccarone incumbent
61.5%Win: > 99%PQ Victoria Piscina
13.4%Win: < 1%PCQ Guy Diotte
8.2%Win: < 1%QS Olivier Sylvestre
6.7%Win: < 1%CAQ Karim Abi Haila
4.3%Win: < 1%The 2022 result
| Party | 2022 | 2026 projection | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|---|
| PLQ | 50.5 | 61.5 | +11.0 |
| PQ | 6.0 | 13.4 | +7.3 |
| PCQ | 9.2 | 8.2 | −1.0 |
| QS | 12.8 | 6.7 | −6.1 |
| CAQ | 10.1 | 4.3 | −5.8 |
Boundaries unchanged in 2026: official 2022 results. Sources: Élections Québec; transposition to the 2026 map by Kyle Hutton (Blunt Objects).
Neighbouring ridings
- Mont-Royal–OutremontPLQ 30.7-pt margin
- Notre-Dame-de-GrâcePLQ 49.1-pt margin
- Saint-Henri–Sainte-AnnePLQ 22.7-pt margin
- Sainte-Marie–Saint-JacquesQS 0.8-pt margin
How to read these numbers
The estimated vote comes from the model’s central scenario. The probability is the share of the 5,000 simulations won by each party; it remains experimental and depends on the model’s assumptions.
Show on the interactive map · Read the method · All ridings
Projection of October 1, 2026 · polls as of October 1 · 5,000 simulations.