RIDING · OCTOBER 5, 2026 ELECTION

Drummond–Bois-Francs

127QC projection for Drummond–Bois-Francs as of October 1, 2026: the PQ leads with 32.8% of the estimated vote, ahead of the PCQ (26.9%) and the CAQ (21.6%). In the model’s 5,000 simulations, the PQ wins 73% of the time.

LeadingPQ

Margin5.9 points

Win probability73%

Poll-based projection. It describes the race today; the October 5 result may differ.

Candidates and estimated support

PQ Charles Page

32.8%Win: 73%

PCQ Myriam Cournoyer

26.9%Win: 19%

CAQ Sébastien Schneeberger incumbent

21.6%Win: 8%

PLQ Colin Hendry

11.0%Win: < 1%

QS Lila Houde

7.2%Win: < 1%

The 2022 result

Party	2022	2026 projection	Change (points)
PQ	15.3	32.8	+17.6
PCQ	18.5	26.9	+8.4
CAQ	49.8	21.6	−28.2
PLQ	4.0	11.0	+7.0
QS	11.2	7.2	−4.0

Boundaries changed with the 2026 electoral map: the 2022 results are estimated on the new territory. Sources: Élections Québec; transposition to the 2026 map by Kyle Hutton (Blunt Objects).

Neighbouring ridings

Arthabaska-L’ÉrablePCQ 9.8-pt margin
Lotbinière-FrontenacPCQ 21.0-pt margin
Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-LajoiePQ 8.9-pt margin
MéganticPCQ 2.1-pt margin
Nicolet-BécancourPQ 1.5-pt margin
RichmondPQ 8.5-pt margin

How to read these numbers

The estimated vote comes from the model’s central scenario. The probability is the share of the 5,000 simulations won by each party; it remains experimental and depends on the model’s assumptions.

Show on the interactive map · Read the method · All ridings

Projection of October 1, 2026 · polls as of October 1 · 5,000 simulations.